A closer look at the
statistics after 16 matches of the DCL gives us some interesting insights.
Teams, get set to put on your tactical caps!
Preserve Early Wickets
We looked at how many runs
teams scored at the halfway mark of their innings (10 overs) and came up with
some interesting statistics:
11 out of 13 times the team that lost less wickets at the 10-over mark ended up
winning the match (in 3 matches both teams lost the same number of wickets)
8 out of 9: 9 times, the side batting first lost less wickets at the 10-over mark.
They won 8 times.
3 out of 4: 4 times, the side batting second lost less wickets. They won 3 times. In
other words, the 33% win probability of the side batting second (based on
results so far) goes up to 75%, if they lose less wickets at the 10-over mark.
Hit Big in the Last 10
10 out of 11: 11 times, the side batting first got more than 75 runs in the last 10
overs. They won 10 of those matches.
4 out of 5: 5 times, the side batting first were restricted to 75 or less. They
lost 4 of those matches. Restrict your opposition to under 75 in the last ten,
win probability: 80%.
Partnerships
7 out of 8: There have been 8 opening partnerships of more than 35 runs. 7
times, the team ended up winning the match.
5 out of 5:
There have been 5 successful run chases in the DCL so far. A common factor:
each of these had at least one partnership of 60 or more runs.
Bowlers are Match-winners!
6 out of 6: There have been 6 4-wkt hauls in the tournament so far (including one
5-wkt haul). All 6 have been match-winning efforts!
Now, as a team tick these boxes in your next match:
*
An opening
partnership of 35 or more runs
*
Score more
than 75 in your last ten, if you are batting first
*
Restrict your
opposition to under 75 in the last ten, if you are fielding first
*
Achieve a 60+
partnership somewhere in your batting innings
*
One of your
bowlers picks up a 4-wicket haul
If you can do all of this,
and you still lose the match, well… sue us! :-p
No comments:
Post a Comment